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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Mar, 24 04:45
★★
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 04:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: -285M; -3468M
Forecast: 160M; -3655M
Actual: -
Period: Feb

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

-285M; -3468M 160M; -3655M -
Mar, 24 06:00
★★
FOMC Member Robert Kaplan Speaks
FOMC Member Robert Kaplan Speaks
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 06:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Mar
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan. Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
- - -
Mar, 24 07:30
PMI Manufacturing
PMI Manufacturing
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 07:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 53.3
Forecast: 53.5
Actual: -
Period: Mar

A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.

The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.

53.3 53.5 -
Mar, 24 15:00
★★
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 52.2
Forecast: 52.4
Actual: -
Period: Mar

A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. The PMI is based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive. Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole.

The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.

52.2 52.4 -
Mar, 24 15:00
★★
Flash Services PMI
Flash Services PMI
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 56.4
Forecast: 56.2
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Gauge for the overall performance of the country's service sector. The Services PMI interviews executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the country's service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index.

56.4 56.2 -
Mar, 24 15:00
★★
Flash Composite PMI
Flash Composite PMI
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 55.9
Forecast: 55.9
Actual: -
Period: Mar
An index level of 50 denotes no change since the previous month, while a level above 50 signals an increase or improvement, and below 50 indicates a decrease or deterioration.
55.9 55.9 -
Mar, 24 15:30
★★
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 56.8
Forecast: 56.6
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Gauge for overall performance of the German manufacturing sector. Through asking executives about sales and employment outlook, the survey strives to provide useful information about the business climate that can lead to developments in employment, output and consumption. The PMI survey is based on the result of interviews with business executives. Manufacturing is an important sector in Germany, which is why changes in Manufacturing PMI serve as a good indicator for the overall economic situation in Germany as well as Eurozone. However, despite the timeliness of the report, Manufacturing PMI is not a big market mover.
The survey results are quantified into index where 0 represents long-term manufacturing business conditions. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change.

56.8 56.6 -
Mar, 24 15:30
★★
Flash Services PMI
Flash Services PMI
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 54.4
Forecast: 54.5
Actual: -
Period: Mar

Gauge for the overall performance of the German service sector. The Services PMI interviews German executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the German service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. For this reason Services PMI usually causes little market movement. The survey results are quantified and presented as an index on a 1-100 scale. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index.
The survey results are quantified into index where 0 represents long-term manufacturing business conditions. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change.

54.4 54.5 -
Mar, 24 15:30
★★
Flash Composite PMI
Flash Composite PMI
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 56.1
Forecast: 56.0
Actual: -
Period: Mar
An index level of 50 denotes no change since the previous month, while a level above 50 signals an increase or improvement, and below 50 indicates a decrease or deterioration.
56.1 56.0 -
Mar, 24 16:00
★★
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Country:
Date: Mar, 24 16:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 55.4
Forecast: 55.3
Actual: -
Period: Mar
It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy. Survey of about 3000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jun 2007, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact.
55.4 55.3 -
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