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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Oct, 19 13:30
★★
Building Permits
Building Permits
Country:
Date: Oct, 19 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1728K; 6.0%
Forecast: 1670K; -1.8%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole.

The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month.

1728K; 6.0% 1670K; -1.8% -
Oct, 19 13:30
★★
Housing Starts
Housing Starts
Country:
Date: Oct, 19 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1615K; 3.9%
Forecast: 1610K; -0.9%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Gauges the change in the number of new houses built in the United States. Housing Starts are one of the earliest indicators of the housing market, only trailing Building Permits in timeliness.

Because high outlays are needed to start construction projects, an increase in Housing Starts implies an increase in investment and business optimism. Finally, the Housing Starts figure gives insight into consumer activity, since new home purchases typically require a large investment for consumers. Given such connections to consumer and corporate sentiment, real estate generally leads economic developments. A sharp drop in new home construction is a warning signal of economic slowdown. Conversely, a rebound in the Housing Starts paves the way for economic recovery.

Housing Starts data is differentiated by building types (single family houses, 2 to 4 residence units and 5 or more residence units). The single family housing starts is a more reliable economic indicator than multi family housing starts, as single family house building is driven by demand and consumer confidence, whereas multi family house building is more often motivated by speculative real estate investors. The report headline is expressed in volume of houses built. The figures are in the thousands of units.

1615K; 3.9% 1610K; -0.9% -
Oct, 19 15:30
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Leading Index (Conference Board)
Country:
Date: Oct, 19 15:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 117.3; 0.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Aug

The Index includes account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. As the aggregate of many leading indices the Leading Economic Index provides a forecast of the future state of the domestic economy and is thought to predict activity that will occur 6-9 months after the reporting period.

The index operates on a 1-100 scale, where a value lower than 50 means that most indictors are negative and a value higher than 50 means most indicators are positive. In both cases a greater distance from the midpoint (50) means that the indicators are more strongly positive or negative.

117.3; 0.3% - -
Oct, 19 19:00
Federal Budget Balance
Federal Budget Balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 19 19:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -170.6
Forecast: -61.0
Actual: -
Period: Sep

This is a report which measures the difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month.

-170.6 -61.0 -
Oct, 19 19:50
★★
FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic Speaks
FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic Speaks
Country:
Date: Oct, 19 19:50
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic - FOMC voting member 2018. Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. More hawkish than expected is good for currency.
- - -
Oct, 20 00:30
MI Leading Index
MI Leading Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 00:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.3%
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Sep

A leading indicator for Australian economic activity calculated by Melbourne Institute.

-0.3% - -
Oct, 20 00:50
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 00:50
Importance: Low
Previous: -271.8bln; -635.4bln
Forecast: -530.0bln; -519.2bln
Actual: -
Period: Sep

The difference between the total value of exports and the total value of imports. A positive figure indicates a trade surplus while a negative value represents a trade deficit. Because Japan 's economy is highly export-led, trade data can give critical insight into developments in Japan 's economy and changes into foreign exchange rates.

A surplus reflects capital flowing into Japan in exchange for Japanese exports, and a deficit means that capital is flowing out of Japan as imports are purchased in larger volumes by Japanese consumers. A trade surplus will act as an appreciating weight on the Yen, whereas a trade deficit will place downward pressure on the Yen's value.

Details in the Trade Balance report itself give useful insight into changing trends regarding Japanese trade. Such developments are especially important for the country, which is an export-oriented economy that has historically experienced large trade surpluses. Any affect on this could have dramatic affect on the domestic economy.

The headline figure for trade balance is expressed in millions of Yen and usually accompanied by a year-on-year percentage change figure.

-271.8bln; -635.4bln -530.0bln; -519.2bln -
Oct, 20 07:00
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 07:00
Importance: High
Previous: 0.7% m/m; 3.2% y/y
Forecast: 0.4%; 3.2%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

0.7% m/m; 3.2% y/y 0.4%; 3.2% -
Oct, 20 07:00
★★
Consumer Price Index-Core
Consumer Price Index-Core
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 3.1%
Forecast: 3.1%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items.

Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.

The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers.

The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns.

3.1% 3.1% -
Oct, 20 07:00
★★
Retail price index
Retail price index
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.6% m/m; 4.8% y/y
Forecast: 0.2%; 4.7%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

In the United Kingdom, the Retail Prices Index or Retail Price Index (RPI) is a measure of inflation published monthly by the Office for National Statistics.

0.6% m/m; 4.8% y/y 0.2%; 4.7% -
Oct, 20 07:00
★★
PPI Input
PPI Input
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 07:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.4% m/m; 11.0% y/y
Forecast: 0.8%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

A monthly survey that measures change in input prices as incurred by UK manufacturers. Input prices include the cost of materials used plus operation costs of running the business. The index can be used as a measure of inflation, given that higher input costs will likely be passed on from producers to consumers in the form of higher retail prices.

The headline is the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (Input) from the previous quarter and previous year.

0.4% m/m; 11.0% y/y 0.8% -
Oct, 20 07:00
PPI Output
PPI Output
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.7% m/m; 5.9% y/y
Forecast: 0.9%; 6.7%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

A monthly survey that measures the price changes of goods produced by UK manufacturers. The figure is also known as "Factory Gate Price" because it usually matches the price of goods when they first leave the factory. Increased prices in manufacturing typically lead to higher retail prices for consumers. However, it is also likely that higher output prices are caused by manufacturers charging a higher premium due to higher demand for their goods. Consequently, market trends in consumption should be considered with Output PPI to avoid data misinterpretation.

0.7% m/m; 5.9% y/y 0.9%; 6.7% -
Oct, 20 07:00
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 07:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.5% m/m; 12.0% y/y
Forecast: 1.1%; 12.7%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

1.5% m/m; 12.0% y/y 1.1%; 12.7% -
Oct, 20 09:00
Current Account (sa)
Current Account (sa)
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 09:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 21.6bln; 30.2bln
Forecast: 24.3bln; 25.1bln
Actual: -
Period: Aug

  The Current Account summarizes the flow of goods, services, income and transfer payments into and out of the country. The report acts as a line-item record of how the domestic economy interacts with rest of the world. The Current Account is one of the three components that make up a country's Balance of Payments (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account), the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts deal mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a non-investment basis - tracking good and services.

21.6bln; 30.2bln 24.3bln; 25.1bln -
Oct, 20 09:30
House Price Index
House Price Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 09:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 8.0%
Forecast: 9.2%
Actual: -
Period: Aug

A broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices. Apart from serving as an indicator of house price trends, the House Price Index (HPI) provides an analytical tool for estimating changes in the rates of mortgage defaults, prepayments and housing affordability. It is a weighted, repeat-sales index, which means that it measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties.

8.0% 9.2% -
Oct, 20 10:00
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 3.4%
Forecast: 3.4%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Eurozone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Eurozone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected, the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range.

3.4% 3.4% -
Oct, 20 10:00
Consumer Price Index Core
Consumer Price Index Core
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 1.9%
Forecast: 1.9%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Eurozone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Eurozone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected, the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range.

1.9% 1.9% -
Oct, 20 10:30
10-y Bond Auction
10-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 10:30
Importance: Low
Previous: -0.22%; 1.1
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
-0.22%; 1.1 - -
Oct, 20 10:30
10-y Bond Auction
10-y Bond Auction
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 10:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.740%; 2.52
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: Oct
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
0.740%; 2.52 - -
Oct, 20 13:30
★★★
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Country:
Date: Oct, 20 13:30
Importance: High
Previous: 0.2% m/m; 4.1% y/y
Forecast: 0.1%; 4.3%
Actual: -
Period: Sep

The key gauge for inflation in Canada. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Canadian Dollar, meaning each Dollar buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most obvious way to measure changes in purchasing power - the report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical Canadian household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Dollars to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

As the most important indicator of inflation in Canada , Consumer Price figures are closely followed by Canada 's central bank. The Bank of Canada has a target inflation band of 1 - 3 % and uses CPI and Core CPI as its principle gauge (the Bank of Canada posts inflation targets and CPI on their homepage). A rising CPI may prompt the central bank to raise interest rates in order to manage inflation and slow economic growth. Higher interest rates make holding the Dollar more attractive to foreign investors, and this higher level of demand will place upward pressure on the value of the Dollar.

0.2% m/m; 4.1% y/y 0.1%; 4.3% -
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